The question is, will Russia be able to hold its breath and return from Ukraine? Or get stuck in Afghanistan as it did
One of the Bengali names for the Russian military operation in Ukraine is Hadudu Expedition. Any war is tragic and horrible. However, for the convenience of understanding, this battle can be understood in the form of Hadudu game. In the game of Hadudu, the victory is considered to be the entry of the opponent's boundary and the return of their players. Occupying the opponent's court is not the purpose of this game. Whoever is touched will be defeated. He will leave the court. Not just by touching; You have to be able to hold your breath and come back to your court.
The question is, will Russia be able to hold its breath and return from Ukraine? Or the United States will be stuck in Afghanistan. The United States called the invasion of Afghanistan and Iraq a war. But Russia is not calling its attack a complete war. In Putin's words, this is a "special" operation to disarm Ukraine and eliminate the "Nazi mercenaries" who have spread there. In other words, in Russia's view, this is its own war on terror, which is being waged against the twin child states that have seceded from Ukraine and the Russian-speaking people of Ukraine.
But in reality the campaign is no longer defensive. It looks like a sack that encloses with a drawstring. However, it is difficult to find neutral journalism about the situation inside Ukraine. There is no reason to rely on Russian statements. But where the Western world has turned it into an information world war, when all the major media in the world are talking in unison, when Facebook has broken its own policy and opened up a free opportunity to incite hatred and violence against Russia and Putin, where are those European values?
In this situation, those who have become anti-American for piracy and aggression in the country are leaning towards Russia. The consciences of those who have already been poisoned by the Iraq-Afghanistan-Syria-Haiti-Panama incident do not want to respond to the US statement. Western professors such as Noam Chomsky, Slavoy Zizek and John Marshmiere have condemned the war, but not Putin. This complex attitude is reflected in the writings of Hamid Dabashi, an American philosopher of Iranian descent, and Marwan Bishara of Al Jazeera. Marwan Bishara expresses this view in one word: united for Ukraine but divided on the question of the United States.
For many states it is a dilemma. It cannot be said that Germany has fully recovered from this dilemma. Some other euro-countries, including Germany, Bulgaria and France, say they will not be able to survive without Russian oil and gas after oil prices rose to 130. Like Britain, France is reluctant to compromise with the United States. NATO's crack is falling on the eyes.
Putin also has fewer countries openly. America's eternal friend, the powerful countries of the Middle East, but this time the United States is not giving air. They are now on their way to diversifying international relations. Iran and Venezuela are also not selling oil to the United States. If the Saudi alliance also bends, the price of Russian oil embargo will skyrocket. Meanwhile, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson flew to Saudi Arabia to woo the Saudis. The prosperity that has brought peace to Europe since World War II has been strained. If this situation continues for a long time, disunity, discontent and instability could unsettle Europe. Putin is attacking Royce to allow civilians to flee, and to push Europe's economy further under the pressure of 5 to 10 million refugees.
Putin has, of course, committed moral crimes by violating Ukraine's sovereignty, but it is not yet time to say how much he has done strategically. In the end, it's a game of breath. On the Ukrainian front, who will breathe first, Putin's troops or Zelensky's resistance? He has proved his worth by surviving two weeks in the face of Russian aggression.
Russia will benefit from bargaining with Europe if it can put the burden of half a billion refugees on the back of the fragile European economy. It will avenge the economic blockade. Now the people of the IMF are also saying that Europe should pay the price for the all-out blockade against Russia. The exclusive position of the dollar as the currency of international exchange will also be tolled. Russia, China, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Belarus and Armenia have already agreed to form an independent monetary system outside the US-led economy. Countries like Iran, Venezuela, North Korea are also waiting for it. Countries will introduce free markets among themselves. The Chinese yuan will probably be their currency. India, meanwhile, is buying oil from Russia, ignoring US warnings. Of course this exchange will not be in dollars. Whatever the outcome of the Ukraine war, the days of monopoly trading of dollars are coming to an end. The consequences of war on European soil are far-reaching.
Russia wanted to use the division of the NATO bloc. But the question is why they attacked the weak neighbor right now? U.S. midterm elections ahead. Biden has said no US troops or planes will be sent to Ukraine.